Rugby Championship South Africa vs New Zealand 2nd Test Best Odds
Sunbet
09/06/2024
Welcome back to Sunbet.co.za’s coverage of The Rugby Championship, where we’ll preview the second test of South Africa vs New Zealand.
It’s that time when you wash away the celebrations from last weekend’s Boks victory over the All Blacks and look at the new betting odds available when the two meet in Round 4 of the Rugby Championship.
In this week’s match preview, we'll look at stats from the previous meeting in Cape Town, some team news, what odds we all should look at, and most importantly, our SPECIAL BET on offer for the SA faithful!
Touch. Don’t Pause. Engage!
Bokke vs The All Blacks Second Test Preview
The Bokke’s next encounter against the All Blacks will kick off on Saturday afternoon (17:00) at the DHL Stadium in Cape Town. As it has been for the entire tournament, the Bokke are favourites with odds of 1.52 to win over the All Blacks and their odds of 2.45 to win.
The Bokke will be looking to make Saturday’s win four out of four wins while firmly placing one hand on The Rugby Championship trophy.
Their opponents will be looking to upset the perfect party, restore their dominant status in the Western Cape, and replicate their success in the southernmost province. However, considering who Rassie has available for selection this weekend, it won’t come easy.
Can you believe it's been seven years since New Zealand beat South Africa in Cape Town? Can you believe it's the first time these two juggernauts meet at the DHL Stadium? With that in mind, we could be in for a totally different outcome.
Let’s move over to the drawing board and check out the stats for both countries.
South Africa & New Zealand’s Form Over the Last 5 Games
South Africa's Last 6 |
Form Table |
New Zealand’s Last 6 |
||
31-27 vs New Zealand |
W |
31-27 vs New Zealand |
L |
|
30-12 vs Australia (A) |
W |
42-10 vs Argentina (H) |
W |
|
33-7 vs Australia (A) |
W |
30-38 vs. Argentina (H) |
L |
|
64-12 vs Portugal (H) |
L |
47-5 vs Fiji (H) |
W |
|
24-25 vs Ireland |
L |
24-17 vs England (H) |
W |
|
South Africa is on the verge of a fourfold victory, having won three from three in the Rugby Championship run. They also stand a chance of making it four straight victories against their long-term rivals.
In the black corner, New Zealand endured two defeats, one of them being against the boys in green and gold. The biggest takeaway from the All Blacks is their high-conceding results. In two of their last three, they have conceded 25 points or more. But always answered back with try after try.
Related Article: South Africa vs Uganda Best Odds
Saturday was the first time SA conceded more than 12 points in a match, but it was also their second-highest point tally in the competition.
Below are the total points scored and conceded by South Africa and New Zealand:
Team |
Wins |
Tries For |
Tries Against |
Total Points Scored |
Total Points Conceded |
South Africa |
3-3 |
12 |
5 |
94 |
46 |
New Zealand |
1-3 |
13 |
8 |
99 |
79 |
As we can see above, the visitors have scored one more try (13) than the local boys (12). Something to always consider when betting on rugby.
SA & NZ Team News:
There are plenty of shifts and changes in both camps, with both head coaches vying hard for all the points and some bonus points if they can. Let’s look at the two squads and the changes made.
Rassie Erasmus Names 7 Changes to Bok Squad
The Boks boss has named seven changes to the team that won over the weekend at Ellis Park Stadium.
Rassie doing Rassie things has 19 World Cup winners in the side, having recalled flyhalf Handrè Pollard and fullback Willie Le Roux, who will both start against the Kiwis. South Africa’s pride and joy, Siya Kolisi, returns and will captain the side following a speedy recovery from the facial injury sustained in the last match.
Joining Siya in the welcome back party is lock Eben Etzebeth, who will be featuring in his 126th test — taking him one step closer to ex-Springboks captain Victor Matfield’s record, who is on 127 test caps.
Erasmus will drop the 6-2 split for this encounter, giving punters a glimpse of what to expect when it comes to the second half of the showdown.
Scott Robertson Makes 5 Changes for the Cape Town Clash
Scott Robertson will be without arguably New Zealand’s two best players from the past weekend. Ethan Blackadder will be missing with a hamstring injury while Caleb Clarke misses out because of a back problem.
The five changes from the Kiwi’s head coach see four players step into the starting lineup and one into the reserves. In the squad, only three players have five or fewer test caps, displaying all the experience the All Blacks are rounding up for this Rugby Championship meeting.
It’s being widely reported that the All Blacks will introduce a new-look back three with fullback Will Jordan and wingers Mark Tele'a and Sevu Reece taking up the three sports. This will be Jordan’s first test in 2024 in the fullback position.
Top Betting Tips: South Africa vs New Zealand Rugby Championship Best Odds
This week’s betting tips will be based on the collective learnings from last week’s meeting, recent form, and more. Here are the best odds to bank on for the best possible turnaround, as well as this weekend’s Special Bet for those who bleed green and gold.
Top Betting Tips
- Having won by four points last weekend, the Springboks -4.5 Handicap sounds like the best shout for the weekend, with the odds at 1.83. If you feel like being a bit more aggressive in this weekend’s market, moving the toggle to a -5.5 handicap on a South African victory will see the odds increase to 1.93.
- New Zealand broke the duck last runout when they scored first in the opening seven minutes of the match. The visitor’s odds of scoring first are currently 2.08, better than SA’s odds at 1.70. However, punting on both wouldn’t be a bad bet.
- The previous odd ties in well with the next; who will score first in the match? NZ is 2.05 to score first while SA is 1.73.
- Both teams enjoyed a positive conversion rate of 66.67% in front of the sticks, making two of the three conversions. A good bet to place would be the first try to be converted, yes or no. A yes selection is currently 1.26, while a no punt is 3.50.
- With Handre Pollard back, the Bokke’s conversion rate could improve drastically, which could affect the total points scored, the end result, and the number of penalties and conversions successfully completed. But the Cape Town wind might have something to say about this on the day. If SA gets the first penalty and Pollard takes it, he could put the home side’s first points on the board.
- There were seven tries scored between the pair at Ellis Park; betting on total tries over 5.5 sounds like something punters should be hoping on at 1.77 odds.
- With both teams scoring tries at will, betting on either team to reach 20 points first is a good market to gamble on. SA is at 1.72 to reach 20 first, while NZ is at 2.55 to reach the target before the hosts.
- With both packs fresh out of the tunnel and almost evenly contested in personnel in the first half, betting on the second half being the highest-scoring half might pay off. The odds are standing at 2.08 currently for the second half to be the higher-scoring half.
- The Kiwis won their last test against South Africa in Cape Town; a shout for them to win is risky, but something that could potentially pay out rewardingly. The odds for the visitors to win outright are 2.45, and if you are looking to bet on a handicap, you could be persuaded to bet on New Zealand’s -3.5 handicap at 2.45.
- Last week, the total points were 58 at the end of the game. This weekend, the total points over 52.5 have odds of 2.06, which is a good punt to consider.
Now for Sunbet’s best offer this weekend! As we unite against our foes, we represent green and gold and back our boys to bring home the glory! This weekend’s special punt is No DNA just RSA! where you can back Bafana Bafana to win against Uganda and the Boks to win on a -4.5 handicap against New Zealand at 3.00 odds. Bet now, and don’t miss out on your chance to Get More From Every Moment.
These offers for the South Africa vs New Zealand Second Test just begin to scratch the surface of all the Sports Betting Markets on offer on the Sunbet.co.za website. For more great odds, head over there now, click on the Sports Bet tab, check all the active markets and live in-play bets, and unlock endless opportunities! Gambling is only for those 18 years and older, and all odds are subject to change.
